HURRICANE GUILLERMO

Hurricane Guillermo has formed far out in the Pacific Ocean.

The National Hurricane Center says Hurricane Guillermo's maximum sustained winds are near 75 mph with some strengthening possible Friday. But it's expected to weaken Saturday as it moves over cooler water.

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Guillermo is centered about 1,100 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of Mexico's Baja California peninsula. It's moving west near 15 mph.

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT FRI AUG 14 2009

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
GUILLERMO...LOCATED ABOUT 1130 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN
TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.

1. AN AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED
THIS MORNING IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE REMNANT LOW OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION NINE-E...LOCATED ABOUT 1230 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS STILL APPEAR SOMEWHAT
FAVORABLE FOR RE-DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM AS IT DRIFTS TOWARD THE
WEST-SOUTHWEST OR WEST. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 TO 50
PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE AGAIN DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

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ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/BEVEN


As the remnants of Hurricane Felicia drifted away yesterday,
HURRICANE GUILLERMO has formed and has the potential to bring winds and rain was heading toward the Hawaiian Islands.

As of last night, HURRICANE GUILLERMO was still approx 1,900 miles east of Hilo but
HURRICANE GUILLERMO is following the same path as Hurricane Felicia. As of 11PM the National Hurricane Center upgraded HURRICANE GUILLERMO to a Category 1 hurricane.
HURRICANE GUILLERMO's has sustained winds of 75 mph which put it just over the threshold.


HURRICANE GUILLERMO is expected to weaken to a tropical depression by the time it nears Hawaii. Hawaii Civil Defense vice director Ed Teixeira reportedHURRICANE GUILLERMO is weaker than Hurricane Felicia — which was a Category 4 hurricane with 140 mph winds at its peak — but HURRICANE GUILLERMO is twice the size.

According to National Weather Service forecaster Derek Wroe HURRICANE GUILLERMO won't have as much time as Hurricane Felicia to gather strength over warm water and is expected to weaken if it continues moving west-southwest toward cooler waters.

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If HURRICANE GUILLERMO continues along its current track and speed, it should be within 350 miles of the Big Island by Tuesday, Wroe said.

Regardless of the lightened threat, Civil defense officials around Hawaii are on alert.

"We need to watch this one," Teixeira said. "We have to be on our toes and watch developments. ... If it's not Guillermo, it will be another storm system developing that could be a threat to the Hawaiian Islands.

"The forecasts still show this one ... moving into cooler waters and then weakening."

Cooler ocean temperatures weaken hurricanes. That's what happened to Felicia.


For LIVE HURRICANE GUILLERMO HAWAII WEBCAMERA'S

HURRICANE CARLOS UPDATE SATELLITE PICTURE

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT SUN JUL 12 2009

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
CARLOS...LOCATED ABOUT 1135 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA.

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1. A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF
ACAPULCO MEXICO IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT
OF THIS SYSTEM DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES TO THE
WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 TO 50
PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

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HURRICANE CARLOS Strengthens of Baja Coast

MIAMI (AP) — HURRICANE CARLOS is heading west over the open waters of the Eastern Pacific Ocean and is expected to get stronger.

The Category 1 HURRICANE CARLOS has maximum sustained winds near 85 mph. But forecasters say HURRICANE CARLOS is expected to strengthen and could become a major hurricane over the next day or two.

As of 5 a.m. EDT, HURRICANE CARLOS was centered about 1,085 miles southwest of the southern tip of Mexico's Baja California peninsula.

HURRICANE CARLOS is moving west near 13 mph on a path taking it farther out to sea.

Stay tuned for Web Cameras of the Hurricane Carlos effected areas

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